Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.387982 5.871288 6.411730 7.068161 7.854330 8.779842 9.974480
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.911220 5.562385 6.345804 7.383755 8.767189 10.623086 13.459154
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.550660 5.317745 6.298874 7.703924 9.782092 12.993931 19.066749
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.357794 5.251257 6.467085 8.360976 11.528450 17.447556 33.420910
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.951377 4.847779 6.113743 8.193511 11.977546 20.177967 52.120549
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.759596 4.716578 6.133340 8.632033 13.765549 28.023582 185.532992
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.559704 4.549299 6.074177 8.939942 15.572719 40.431594 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.296028 4.258158 5.776401 8.744056 16.181010 51.857069 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.047027 3.966048 5.440582 8.405246 16.295482 63.668231 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.993041 3.971873 5.612484 9.175655 20.532182 225.572667 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.029943 4.128046 6.084590 10.858405 32.022440 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.972912 4.121350 6.254379 11.923495 46.223308 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.788585 3.898486 6.002574 11.848181 54.911723 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.632590 3.711507 5.799672 11.876853 69.109944 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.497940 3.550558 5.629693 11.973649 93.579629 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.418063 3.481820 5.652907 12.828987 221.330130 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.260925 3.255858 5.286966 12.004419 208.884024 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.180788 3.168297 5.230506 12.461614 880.749108 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.097418 3.067303 5.127688 12.692269 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.987410 2.907003 4.861565 12.047827 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.880252 2.746059 4.578968 11.245018 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.854281 2.740330 4.675372 12.355060 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.867352 2.812494 4.984969 15.082419 NaN NaN NaN